The effect of exposure to political institutions on demand for democracy in Africa, Latin America and Asia

Demand_for_democracy

I plan to submit this paper for publication in a week. An earlier version covering only the African continent was published on Afrobarometer Working Paper, n. 60.

Abstract:

Understanding why people demand democracy is important to an evaluation of the prospects for democratic stability. Most researchers examining this question have added national-level variables to multi-level regression models of survey data. This paper contributes to the investigation of why people demand democracy by adding new individual-level variables related to individual exposure to political institutions. Its main question is: Does exposure to democracy increase the legitimacy of democracy? Regression analysis results show evidence that exposure to democratic institutions—measured as the number of years lived under democracy—has a statistically significant, though substantively small, effect on demand for democracy. Overall, the results allow some optimism that as people live under democracy, they internalize its core values and improve its chances of consolidation.

Download the full paper (with the R code attached to the PDF).

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